报告题目：Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of Zika Virus

报告人：阮士贵 教授 （美国迈阿密大学）

报告时间：2016年8月13日（星期六）上午10:00

报告地点：复杂系统研究所报告厅

报告摘要：The ongoing Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic poses a major global public health emergency as it has been reported in more than 60 countries worldwide, including China and USA. It is well-known that ZIKV is spread by Aedes mosquitoes, recent studies show that ZIKV can also be transmitted via sexual contact and cases of sexually transmitted ZIKV of the current outbreak have been confirmed in several countries. In this talk we first present a mathematical model to investigate the impact of mosquito-borne transmission and sexual transmission on prevention and control of ZIKV and use the model to fit the ZIKV data up to February 2016 in Brazil, Colombia, and El Salvador. Our result indicates that sexual transmission increases the risk of infection and epidemic size and prolongs the outbreak. Then we will introduce a second model to describe how Zika virus can be imported, established and spread in new territories by international travel. In order to prevent and control the transmission of ZIKV, it must be treated as not only a mosquito-borne disease but also a sexually transmitted disease.

个人简介： 阮士贵教授，美国迈阿密大学数学系教授。阮士贵教授于1992年在加拿大阿尔伯特（Alberta）大学获得应用数学博士学位，师从生物数学方向的国际知名专家Herb I. Freedman教授。现为University of Miami（迈阿密大学）数学系终身正教授。研究领域为生物数学、动力系统以及微分方程，近年来在流行病数学建模以及分析中取得重要成果。已经在PNAS，Trans AMS，Memoris AMS,JDE，JMB等重要刊物发表学术论文多达近两百篇，并担任生物数学领域重要期刊《Mathematical Biosciences》、《Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems - Series B》、《BMC Infectious Diseases》、《Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering》、《Journal of Biological Systems》与《International Journal of Biomathematics》等重要期刊编委。

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